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US TSYS SUMMARY

A bit of respite for Tsys early Thursday after the previous session's sell-off, with most attention on Fed Chair Powell's appearance later.

  • Bull flattening in the curve: 2-Yr yield is up 0.2bps at 0.1427%, 5-Yr is down 1bps at 0.7221%, 10-Yr is down 1.6bps at 1.4653%, and 30-Yr is down 3.6bps at 2.2402%.
  • Jun 10-Yr futures (TY) steady at at 133-01.5 (L: 132-27.5 / H: 133-06)
  • Risk-off in the Asia-Pac session as equities fell, though S&P futures are now off overnight lows. Dollar trading mixed. Fairly quiet European morning.
  • Little question that the day's main event is Powell speaking in a moderated Q&A at 1205ET. Attention is on his comments (if any) regarding the run-up in yields after since his congressional testimony last week.
  • In data, jobless claims and Q4 nonfarm productivity out at 0830ET, with Jan factory / durable goods orders at 1000ET.
  • On the fiscal stimulus front, the Senate vote on the $1.9trn bill has been pushed back to the weekend pending CBO cost estimates on the most recent version of the bill.
  • In supply, $65B of 4-/8-week bill sales at 1130ET. NY Fed buys ~$1.750B of 20-30Y Tsys.

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