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EGB Supply: W/C 20 Nov, 2023 (2/2)

EUROZONE ISSUANCE
  • Wednesday will see Germany return to the market to hold a 15-year Bund auction. On offer will be E500mln of the off-the-run 0% May-35 Bund (ISIN: DE0001102515) alongside E1bln of the on-the-run 1.00% May-38 Bund (ISIN: DE0001102598).
  • On Friday, Italy will conclude issuance for the week with a BTP Short Term / BTPei auction. We look for a reopening of the 3.60% Sep-25 BTP Short Term (ISIN: IT0005557084) for E2.0-2.5bln. We don’t have a strong conviction regarding the BTPei that will be on offer. Details will be announced on Tuesday. However, we note that this could also be the last BTP-ST/BTPei auction of the year with the MEF often cancelling the auction that is scheduled between Christmas and New Year.

NET NOMINAL FLOWS: This week sees redemptions of E10.4bln – E6.3bln of a formerly 6-year BTP Italia and E4.0bln of a formerly 10-year ESM-bond while coupon payments for the week are E0.5bln. This leaves net flows for the week close to flat at an estimated negative E0.1bln, down from positive E26.9bln last week.


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  • Wednesday will see Germany return to the market to hold a 15-year Bund auction. On offer will be E500mln of the off-the-run 0% May-35 Bund (ISIN: DE0001102515) alongside E1bln of the on-the-run 1.00% May-38 Bund (ISIN: DE0001102598).
  • On Friday, Italy will conclude issuance for the week with a BTP Short Term / BTPei auction. We look for a reopening of the 3.60% Sep-25 BTP Short Term (ISIN: IT0005557084) for E2.0-2.5bln. We don’t have a strong conviction regarding the BTPei that will be on offer. Details will be announced on Tuesday. However, we note that this could also be the last BTP-ST/BTPei auction of the year with the MEF often cancelling the auction that is scheduled between Christmas and New Year.

NET NOMINAL FLOWS: This week sees redemptions of E10.4bln – E6.3bln of a formerly 6-year BTP Italia and E4.0bln of a formerly 10-year ESM-bond while coupon payments for the week are E0.5bln. This leaves net flows for the week close to flat at an estimated negative E0.1bln, down from positive E26.9bln last week.


Keep reading...Show less