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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessEGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: Gilts Outperform Ahead Of UK CPI
European yields fell Tuesday, with Bunds partially unwinding Monday's weakness, and Gilts outperforming ahead of CPI data and the Bank of England decision.
- Modest weakness in early trade stemmed in part from a hawkish hold by the RBA overnight, but yields ultimately resolved lower, helped by a weaker-than-expected US retail sales report released in the European afternoon.
- Gilts easily outperformed Bunds on the day. The UK curve bull steepened through the 10Y segment, with 5Y outperforming after a solid auction today. Germany's curve bull flattened modestly.
- French 10Y spreads to Germany tightened for a 2nd day (-1.7bp) after last week's blow out. BTPs and GGBs outperformed in the EGB space once again, as periphery spreads narrowed for a 2nd consecutive session.
- While the BoE decision awaits Thursday, the main item on Wednesday's schedule is the UK inflation report - MNI's preview is here. MNI's Markets Team sees two-way risks to the services CPI print (median est 5.5% Y/Y), but with downside risks outweighing upside risks.
- Also of note, EU finance ministers are scheduled to meet Wednesday, with focus on the Excessive Deficit Procedure (and potential for France's inclusion therein).
Closing Yields / 10-Yr Periphery EGB Spreads To Germany
- Germany: The 2-Yr yield is down 1.1bps at 2.803%, 5-Yr is down 0.9bps at 2.415%, 10-Yr is down 1.8bps at 2.396%, and 30-Yr is down 2.3bps at 2.548%.
- UK: The 2-Yr yield is down 6.8bps at 4.145%, 5-Yr is down 7.7bps at 3.917%, 10-Yr is down 6.7bps at 4.048%, and 30-Yr is down 7.4bps at 4.526%.
- Italian BTP spread down 3.4bps at 149.5bps / Greek down 3.6bps at 121.2bps
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.