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EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: Short End Underperforms As Cut Pricing Fades

BONDS

Gilts outperformed Bunds Friday, as a very strong week for core FI concluded in a constructive manner.

  • The German and UK curves both twist flattened on the day, though early gains - following weak UK retail sales data - faded in afternoon trade.
  • European short end instruments weakened on the day as ECB/BoE rate cut expectations pulled back from extremes in the afternoon, with global central bankers seen pushing back on rate cut speculation.
  • That included multiple Fed speakers, and MNI's ECB sources piece noting policymakers are keen to ensure rate cuts are not priced prematurely.
  • BTP spreads finished marginally wider after tightening intraday, ahead of Italy's sovereign ratings decision by Moody's after the cash close (a downgrade is not expected).
  • Next week sees multiple data points of interest including flash November PMIs.

Closing Yields / 10-Yr Periphery EGB Spreads To Germany

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Gilts outperformed Bunds Friday, as a very strong week for core FI concluded in a constructive manner.

  • The German and UK curves both twist flattened on the day, though early gains - following weak UK retail sales data - faded in afternoon trade.
  • European short end instruments weakened on the day as ECB/BoE rate cut expectations pulled back from extremes in the afternoon, with global central bankers seen pushing back on rate cut speculation.
  • That included multiple Fed speakers, and MNI's ECB sources piece noting policymakers are keen to ensure rate cuts are not priced prematurely.
  • BTP spreads finished marginally wider after tightening intraday, ahead of Italy's sovereign ratings decision by Moody's after the cash close (a downgrade is not expected).
  • Next week sees multiple data points of interest including flash November PMIs.

Closing Yields / 10-Yr Periphery EGB Spreads To Germany

Keep reading...Show less