September 20, 2024 08:49 GMT
EGBS: Periph A Little Wider Vs Bunds As Equities Pull Back, Ratings Updates Eye
EGBS
The pullback in equities has promoted some peripheral underperformance today, although spread movements are modest, 0.5-1.0bp wider vs. Bunds.
- EUR 3m10y little changed, preventing widening from developing further.
- Sovereign rating announcements due after market (see earlier bullet for a comprehensive list of scheduled updates: https://marketnews.com/ratings-busy-ratings-schedule-focus-on-france-ireland-portugal ) should underscore the more favourable ratings backdrop/fiscal trajectories for the peripheral nations (and Ireland) when compared to the likes of France.
- Those points form the centrepiece of many of the peripheral tightener recommendations held by the sell-side, as well as our belief that it is hard to argue in favour of any meaningful short-term outperformance for OATs vs. the likes of PGBs & SPGBs.
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