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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI ASIA MARKETS OPEN: Tsy Curves Reverse Course Ahead Wed CPI
MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS:Waiting For Next Inflation Shoe Drop
Key Inter-Meeting Fed Speak – Dec 2024
US TREASURY AUCTION CALENDAR: Avg 3Y Sale
Empire and Philly See A Net Mfg Improvement After Lagging ISM
- Today's flash US PMIs for June across both manufacturing and services at 0945ET follow a collection of weak PMI releases across the main Eurozone readings along with the UK.
- This will provide a useful update on services, whilst initial regional Fed manufacturing surveys have been mixed at a headline level but with some signs of improvement in ISM-equivalent terms.
- The Philly Fed manufacturing index surprisingly fell to 1.3 (cons 5.0) in June from 4.5, for its lowest level since January.
- Shipments slipped from -1.2 to -7.2 (lowest since Dec’23) whilst new orders improved but remained negative, rising from -7.9 to -2.2.
- It’s in contrast to Monday’s beat for the volatile Empire survey as it increased to -6.0 (cons -10.0) from -15.6. It was the biggest monthly increase since Nov’23, to the least-negative reading since Feb’24.
- While activity continues to contract, the survey provided signals that pronounced 2Q weakness may have represented a trough in activity in New York State for now.
- However, converting to ISM-equivalent terms, Empire increased from 46.9 to 49.0 (highest since Nov’23) whilst the Philly Fed still increased from 46.4 to 47.0 despite the headline decline even if that only the highest since Apr’24.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.