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USDCAD TECHS

Needle Still Points South

US TSYS

Yields Bounce as Equities Make New Monthly Highs

AUDUSD TECHS

Heading North

EURJPY TECHS

Bull Rally Accelerates

COLOMBIA

Economists Survey Raises 2021 CPI Forecast To 4.9%

-- Updated: June 05, 2018
            JUN  JUL   AUG   SEP   OCT   NOV   DEC   JAN   FEB   MAR   APR   MAY
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
M3 (y/y
rate)       5.0  4.5   5.0   5.2   5.0   4.9   4.6   4.6   4.2   3.7   3.9
M3 (3-mth
moving
avg)        4.9  4.8   4.8   4.9   5.1   5.0   4.8   4.7   4.4   4.2   4.0
HICP (y/y)  1.3  1.3   1.5   1.5   1.4   1.5   1.4   1.3   1.1   1.3   1.2  1.9p
SA jobless
rate        9.1  9.0   9.0   8.9   8.8   8.7   8.6   8.7   8.6   8.6   8.5
Retail
Sales
(m/m)       0.3  0.0  -0.2   1.0  -1.1   2.1  -1.0  -0.4   0.3   0.4   0.1
PPI (y/y)   2.4  2.0   2.5   2.9   2.5   2.8   2.2   1.6   1.7   2.1   2.0
Industry
Output(wda
y/y)        2.9  3.7   4.2   4.1   2.7   4.7   5.2   3.7   2.9   3.0
SA Trade
Balance (E  21.  17.
Bln)          3    5  20.9  23.8  19.2  22.0  23.8  19.9  21.0  21.2
SA Current  24.  34.
Account       5    8  41.8  39.2  35.1  36.5  34.3  39.7  36.8  32.0
Economic    110  111  111.  112.  113.  114.  115.  114.  114.  112.  112.  112.
Morale       .5   .0     6     8     4     2     2     9     3     8     7     5
Industry
Morale      4.9  5.1   5.8   7.7   8.5   9.1   9.6   9.8   8.8   7.0   7.1
Consumer    -1.  -1.
Morale        3    7  -1.5  -1.2  -1.1   0.0   0.5   1.4   0.1   0.1   0.4
            57.  56.
PMI (mfg)     4    6  57.4  58.1  58.5  60.1  60.6  59.6  58.6  56.6  56.2  55.5
            55.  55.                                                        53.9
PMI (svc)     4    4  54.7  55.8  55.0  56.2  56.6  58.0  57.1  54.9  54.7     p
                3Q15  4Q15  1Q16  2Q16  3Q16  4Q16  1Q17  2Q17  3Q17  4Q17  1Q18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
real GDP (y/y)   1.6   2.0   1.7   1.6   1.7   1.9   2.0   2.4   2.7   2.8  2.5p
Labour Costs
(y/y)            1.1   1.3   1.7   1.1   1.4   1.6   1.5   1.8   1.6   1.5
Employment
(q/q)            0.3   0.3   0.3   0.4   0.3   0.4   0.5   0.4   0.4
Employment
(y/y)            1.1   1.2   1.4   1.4   1.4   1.3   1.6   1.6   1.7
     
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
p: preliminary (flash) estimate
[TOPICS: MTABLE]