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Ericsson 4Q23 Results: Revenue Miss, Tough Outlook Yet Credit Has Tightened Meaningfully

COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR

Ericsson (ERICB SS) 4Q23 results are out and look like a marginal miss to consensus and the outlook comments look fairly bleak.


  • Sales are down 16% in 4Q23 and 3% for the full year, latter coming in at SEK263.4m vs. consensus of 268.0m, so a small miss. Gross margin was broadly in line (38.6% for FY23, down 210bp y/y but against expectations of 38.9%) and FCF was SEK12.5bn in 4Q23 though helped by some one-offs.
  • Outlook appears tough; “current market uncertainties” to continue in 2024, RAN market (radio access network… 5G) to decline ex-China and company believes network operators are under-investing so a recovery “should materialise”.
  • The equity is indicating lower this morning but the traded debt more mixed. The most liquid ’27 bond has tightened meaningfully since Nov-23 wides and closed the premium to Nokia but there’s no good news catalyst obvious in these results.

Conf call with mgmt is just starting: https://edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/uy7dtn5r/

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