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EURGBP: Cross Through to New Daily Lows, But Consolidation In Place For Now

EURGBP
  • EUR/GBP pressured to new daily lows in recent trade, with the cross breaking below today's/Monday's lows at 0.8414. Despite the weekly range breakout, price remains in consolidation mode after the recovery off 0.8383, which marks the next key level to the downside. 
  • Tomorrow's prelim PMIs could prove key in the short-term. They provide the final look at the UK economy ahead of the BoE's August decision next Thursday, for which the MPC are already inside their media blackout period. 
  • OIS pricing eyes 11bps of cuts next week - so very close to a knife-edge 50/50 call that could prove pivotal for the medium-term direction in the cross. Any near-term strength eyes 0.8441 ahead of the 50-dma at 0.8471.

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