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EURHUF Breaks Support, Trades to 3-Month Low

HUNGARY
The Hungarian Forint is currently the strongest currency among its CEEMEA peers, trading 1.04% higher against the euro at 395.92 (EURZAR +0.61%; EURPLN +0.21%). HUF strength is being underpinned by the bounce in the Euro with the renewed greenback weakness leading USDHUF (-1.74%) to briefly trade at fresh 7-month lows.
  • There is little in the way of domestic news flow driving price action, with the move more broadly reflecting the firmer global risk sentiment thanks to news out of China (support for developers, easing Aussie coal import ban, etc.)
  • Downside momentum for the pair picked up following the break of 398.30, the Nov/Dec lows which has seen the pair narrow the gap with the next significant support of 394.07, the Sep 8 low. Below here would turn attention towards the August lows at 391.55, which would represent a seven-month low. Initial resistance is at 405.85, the 50-day EMA.
  • Similar optimism seen across the sovereign curve with 10Y domestic Hungary bond yields trading 45bp lower. Of note, Hungary opened books on a three-part benchmark bond offering in dollars, with the country seeking to finance its budget and current account shortfalls as a chunk of its European Union funding remains frozen. The country is offering new five-year, 10-year and 30-year notes.

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