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Exports Driving Recovery

JAPAN DATA

Q2 preliminary GDP rose a stronger-than-expected 1.5% q/q (6% saar) to be up 2.1% y/y following 0.9% and 1.9% in Q1. This is the strongest quarterly increase since the Covid-affected Q4 2020. The strength was driven by export growth of 3.2% q/q driven by autos, which resulted in net exports contributing 1.8pp to growth. This suggests that global growth is proving resilient so far in 2023. Tourism is also recovering, which should continue over H2. Domestic components were lacklustre though with consumption falling 0.5% q/q, investment flat and inventories detracting 0.2pp.


Japan real GDP growth %

Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv

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