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Fed Hike Path Dips Ahead Of CPI

STIR FUTURES
  • Fed Funds implied hikes have steadily cooled overnight with 72bps for next week (-0.5-1bp from much of yday).
  • Meetings further out unwind yesterday’s climb to new cycle highs but remains above levels pre-Friday's Fedspeak: 3.86% Dec (-4bps), terminal 3.98% for Mar’23 (-5bps) before 42bps of cuts to 3.56% Dec’23.

FOMC-dated Fed Funds futures implied September hike (white) plus rates at specific meetings (bottom panel)Source: Bloomberg

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