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Fed Hike Pricing Consolidates Powell Gains

STIR FUTURES
  • Hikes implied by FOMC-dated Fed Funds futures have consolidated at levels established after Powell’s House testimony yesterday.
  • March pricing is pinned around the 25bp mark with the same large repricing further out.
  • There is very nearly four consecutive 25bp hikes up to and including July (98bp from 88bp into Q&A) and nearing six hikes for 2022 again (144bps from 132bp into Q&A).
  • Plenty of further trigger points ahead. Powell speaks in the Senate (1000ET) but there will be fresh commentary late on from NY Fed’s Williams (1800ET). Some of the more important data releases today include finalised ULCs, Markit PMIs and ISM Services plus factory orders, all before tomorrow’s payrolls.

Source: Bloomberg

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