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FGE Expect Gasoline Crack Rebound

OIL PRODUCTS

Global markets saw a large decline in gasoline cracks in every region last week – the Atlantic Basin in pole position with NWE/USGC falling around $2.80/bbl according to FGE.

  • The EIA released more bearish data, with US gasoline stocks now level with the pre-covid average, as well as the Memorial Day demand boost 100kb/d less than expected. US crude runs remain high, coming in at 95% capacity.
  • FGE’s view is that gasoline cracks have bottomed out and they are still expecting a rebound in summer – refiners are being disincentivised to produce gasoline, and yield shifts should start occurring. Weak gasoline cracks in Asia will also prolong run cuts, tightening supplies there.

Source: FGE

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