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Final Mfg PMI Confirms July Drop, Softest Output Inflation In A Year

US DATA
  • The S&P Global US manufacturing PMI was revised only 0.1pt higher as expected in the final July print to 49.6 (initial 49.5) as it held the sizeable drop from the 51.6 in June.

It’s the lowest reading since December and the press release offers some dovish takeaways:

  • New orders declined for the first time in three months.
  • “Output prices increased only marginally and at the slowest pace for a year, despite a further marked increase in input costs.”
  • And employment also rose at a slower pace.
  • S&P Chief Business Economist Williamson offers further thoughts on the pricing backdrop: “Input cost inflation cooled for a second month after having risen to a 13-month high in May. This welcome lowering of cost pressures helped take further heat out of selling price inflation, which moderated sharply in July to the lowest for a year to signal only a marginal increase in prices during the month. This near-abeyance of producer price inflation should feed through to lower consumer price inflation in the coming months.

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