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FINANCIALS: Sabadell Results Due This Morning

FINANCIALS

Sabadell (SABSM : BBB- pos/BBB) results are due this morning. The overriding news is around the BBVA bid and results would have to be stellar to drive further spread tightening, in our view. Bankinter results last Thursday were solid but we’ve few other laterals to look to.

  • Last results (25 Apr) were good with revenues well above consensus, including NII, better loan losses and guidance upgrades for both. This was driven by both Spanish and UK business and a share buyback (4% of market cap) was launched.
  • The overriding news in the period was the bid from BBVA, which was rebuffed, raised and then BBVA ultimately went hostile, which is relatively unusual in Eurobank M&A. This has clearly moved asset prices.
  • Danske’s spreads have come in 23bp since those results (€IG banks -3bp) and the equity is up 29% (SX7P +3.5%).
  • Revenue estimates are 2% and 4% higher (for this year and next) since results, with EPS 5% and 16% up, respectively.

Results are due pre-market with a conf call due at 0800 (London time). 

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