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Fiscal Deficit Tracking 6.5% GDP Over Past Twelve Months

US DATA
  • The monthly government deficit jumped to $296bn in Feb (cons $298.5bn) after the $22bn in Jan, a widening from the $262bn in Feb’23.
  • Expenditure increased to $567bn from $525bn a year ago, with $26bn of the $43bn increase coming from net interest.
  • Revenue increased to $271bn vs $262bn a year ago, driven by a $9bn increase in individual income taxes.
  • It leaves an overall deficit tracking at ~6.5% GDP on a twelve-month rolling basis. Interest expenses account for 2.8% GDP of that. Yesterday’s Budget proposed a deficit of 6.6% GDP for FY24 before 6.1% GDP for FY25.

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