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French Power Exports to Germany Remain Firm So Far in August

POWER

French net cross-border flows to Germany have averaged 2.35GW over 1-12 August, remaining firm from 2.38GW across the entirety of July, Entso-E data showed.

  • The French Epex Spot Day-ahead base load averaged €40.53/MWh for delivery on 1-13 August, well below the German equivalent that averaged €79.48/MWh. Placing the FR-DE discount at an average of around €38.94/MWh
  • However, power flows could be potentially lower on the month as August progresses amid RTE possibly reducing its power exports on France’s eastern borders from 29 July until mid-October, RTE said in late July.
  • But reduced nuclear generation owing to high river temperatures has impacted baseload output in France, which could lead to stronger imports from Germany.
  • Current forward pricing suggests France will remain a net power exporter to Germany next month with the French power front-month base-load contract currently trading at a €29.90/MWh discount to the German equivalent.
  • France Base Power SEP 24 up 1.4% at 63.15 EUR/MWh
  • Germany Base Power SEP 24 up 1.9% at 93.09 EUR/MWh

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