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Futures Holding In Positive Territory, US CPI Due, Heavy Local Calendar Tomorrow

JGBS

JGB futures sit mid-range, +5 compared to settlement levels, after dealing in a relatively narrow range during the Tokyo session.

  • There hasn’t been much in the way of domestic drivers to flag, outside of the previously outlined PPI and Tankan survey data.
  • Beyond the 1-year, the cash JGB curve has bull-flattened, with yields 0.1bp to 4.1bp lower. The benchmark 10-year yield is 0.5bp lower at 0.706% versus yesterday’s post-YCC tweak high of 0.722%.
  • Today’s BoJ Rinban operations seem to have offered some bolstering influence on longer-dated JGBs. This comes after the operations saw a negative spread and a marginally diminished offer cover ratio for the JGBs with a maturity period exceeding 25 years.
  • The swap curve has twist-flattened, pivoting at the 7s, with rates 0.8bp higher to 3.5bp lower. Swap spreads are wider throughout the curve.
  • Tomorrow the local calendar sees International Investment Flow, Core Machine Orders, Industrial Production and Capacity Utilisation data, along with 20-year supply.

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