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MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
Futures Holding Stronger At Tokyo Lunch Break, 5-Year Supply Due
At the Tokyo lunch break, JGB futures are holding stronger than the overnight close, +18bp compared to settlement levels, after trading in a relatively narrow range.
- There hasn’t been much in the way of domestic drivers to flag, outside of the previously outlined M2 and M2 money stock data, which is unlikely to have moved the market. June preliminary machine tool orders are out later today.
- Cash tsys are dealing little changed from yesterday's closing levels in a muted start to Tuesday's trade. There has been little meaningful macro news flow thus far.
- Cash JGBs are dealing mixed at the end of Tokyo morning session with the belly of the curve outperforming. The benchmark 10-year yield is 0.2bp lower at 0.46%, below the BoJ's YCC limit of 0.50%. The 30-40-year zone is underperforming with yields 0.9-1.2bp cheaper.
- The 5-year benchmark is dealing 0.1bp lower at 0.121%, showing little concession, ahead of today’s supply. It is worth noting that a slight richening of the belly in the 2/5/10-year butterfly since the June auction may impact investor interest at today’s auction. The 5s currently sit just above the cycle's richest levels.
- Swap spreads are tighter across the curve apart from the 7-year.
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Why MNI
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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.