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GBP/USD was the biggest mover throughout a....>

CABLE
CABLE: GBP/USD was the biggest mover throughout a very quiet NY session on
Wednesday. The UK government's meaningful vote victory (319 to 303) over the
rebels saw cable climb 40 pips to $1.3216, before fading, last ~$1.3150.
- Immediate risk events come in the form of Thursday's BOE MonPol decision & an
evening speech from BOE Gov. Carney. The market is treating Thursday's Bank of
England meeting as a staging ground before the main event in August when the MPC
is next expected to raise rates: According to MNI PINCH the market-implied
probability of a 25bps hike at the June meeting is less than 2%, but jumps to
45% for August. While the jury is still out on whether the Q1 slowdown was a
temporary blip or the start of a more pronounced deceleration in economic
activity, the BoE can cite a slew of recent positive data releases (services
PMI, retail sales and CPI) to support a hawkish trajectory for the bank rate.
- The pair has breached hourly support at $1.3160, with the next notable level
of downside interest seen at $1.3129 (1.618% swing $1.3151-87).
- Nearby options interest comes in the form of GBP1.16bln worth of $1.3200-05
expiries at today's 10AM NY cut.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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