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USDCAD TECHS

Northbound

US TSYS

FI Support Evaporates Amid Late Month End Selling

AUDUSD TECHS

Remains Vulnerable

CANADA

Late Risk Off Sees USDCAD Eye Cycle Highs

US TSY OPTIONS

BLOCK, Late Puts

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Global Data Calendar

Date   GMT /Local                                             Prior  Est.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
04-Feb 0330/1430            AU Interest Rate Change              --    --   %
04-Feb 0330/1430            AU Interest Rate                     --    --   %
04-Feb 0930/0930 **  Jan    UK Markit/CIPS Construction PMI      --    --
04-Feb 1000/1100 **  Dec    EU PPI m/m                          0.2   0.0   %
04-Feb 1000/1100 **  Dec    EU PPI y/y                         -1.4  -0.7   %
04-Feb 1355/0855 **  01-Feb US Redbook retail sales m/m          --    --   %
04-Feb 1445/0945 *   Jan    US ISM-NY current conditions       39.1    --
04-Feb 1500/1000 **  Dec    US factory new orders              -0.7   1.2   %
04-Feb 1500/1000 **  Dec    US factory orders ex transport      0.3   0.1   %
04-Feb 1500/1000 **  Feb    US IBD/TIPP Optimism Index           --    --
05-Feb 0730/0830 **  Jan    SE Services PMI                      --    --
05-Feb 0815/0915 **  Jan    ES Markit Services PMI (f)         54.9  54.0
05-Feb 0830/0930 **  Jan    SE Private Sector Production         --    --   %
05-Feb 0845/0945 **  Jan    IT Markit Services PMI (f)         51.1  50.5
05-Feb 0850/0950 **  Jan    FR Markit Services PMI (f)           --    --
05-Feb 0855/0955 **  Jan    DE Markit Services PMI (f)         54.2  54.2
05-Feb 0900/1000 **  Jan    EU Markit Services PMI (f)         52.2  52.2
05-Feb 0930/0930 **  Jan    UK Markit/CIPS Services PMI        52.9  52.9
                                 (Final)
05-Feb 1000/1100 **  Dec    EU retail sales m/m                 1.1  -1.1   %
05-Feb 1000/1100 **  Dec    EU retail sales y/y wda             2.2   2.4   %
05-Feb 1200/0700 **  31-Jan US MBA Mortgage Applications        7.2    --   %
05-Feb 1315/0815 *** Jan    US ADP private payrolls             202   158 k 
05-Feb 1330/0830 **  Dec    CA Trade balance                  -1.09 -0.68 b CAD
05-Feb 1330/0830 **  Dec    US trade balance                  -43.1 -48.2 b USD
05-Feb 1445/0945 *** Jan    US Markit Services Index (final)   53.2  53.2
05-Feb 1500/1000 *** Jan    US ISM Non-manufacturing Index     54.9  55.1
05-Feb 1530/1030 **  31-Jan US crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w      --    -- m bbl
06-Feb 0030/1130            AU SA Monthly Goods and Services     --    -- m AUD
                                 Balance
06-Feb 0030/1130            AU Turnover at current prices, %     --    --   %
                                 change m/m, seasonally
                                 adjusted
06-Feb 0700/0800 **  Dec    DE manufacturing orders m/m        -1.3   0.7   %
06-Feb 0700/0800 **  Dec    DE manufacturing orders  y/y wda   -6.5  -6.6   %
06-Feb 1230/0730 *   Jan    US challenger layoff plans        -25.2    --   %
06-Feb 1330/0830 **  01-Feb US jobless claims                   216   215 k 
06-Feb 1330/0830 **  Q4     US non-farm productivity (p)       -0.2   1.6   %
06-Feb 1330/0830 **  Q4     US unit labor costs (p)             2.5   1.3   %
06-Feb 1530/1030 **  31-Jan US natural gas stocks w/w            --    --   Bcf
06-Feb 2130/1630 **  05-Feb US Fed weekly securities holdings    --    -- t USD
07-Feb     -     *** Jan    CN exports y/y                      7.6    --   %
07-Feb     -     *** Jan    CN trade balance                  46.79    -- b USD
07-Feb     -     *** Jan    CN imports y/y                     16.3    --   %
07-Feb 2330/0830 **  Dec    JP Total wages y/y                 +0.1    --   %
07-Feb 2330/0830 **  Dec    JP Base wages y/y                   0.0    --   %
07-Feb 2330/0830 **  Dec    JP Real wages y/y                  -0.6    --   %
07-Feb 2330/0830 **  Jan    JP Household spending y/y          -2.0  -1.4   %
07-Feb 0700/0800 **  Dec    DE trade balance m/m               18.3  14.5 b E
07-Feb 0700/0800 **  Dec    DE trade balance imports m/m       -0.5   0.3   %
07-Feb 0700/0800 **  Dec    DE trade balance exports m/m       -2.3   0.6   %
07-Feb 0700/0800 **  Dec    DE industrial production m/m        1.1  -0.2   %
07-Feb 0700/0800 **  Dec    DE industrial production wda y/y   -2.6  -3.7   %
07-Feb 0745/0845 *   Dec    FR foreign trade                     --    -- b E
07-Feb 0745/0845 *   Dec    FR industrial production m/m         --    --   %
07-Feb 0745/0845 *   Dec    FR industrial production y/y         --    --   %
07-Feb 0745/0845 *   Dec    FR manufacturing prod m/m            --    --   %
07-Feb 0745/0845 *   Dec    FR manufacturing prod y/y            --    --   %
07-Feb 0800/0900 **  Dec    ES industrial production y/y        1.0  -1.0   %
07-Feb 0830/0830 *   Jan    UK Halifax house prices 3m y/y       --    --   %
07-Feb 0900/1000 *   Dec    IT retail sales m/m                -0.2    --   %
07-Feb 0900/1000 *   Dec    IT retail sales y/y nsa             0.9   1.4   %
07-Feb 1330/0830 *** Jan    CA Employment                      27.3    15 k 
07-Feb 1330/0830 *** Jan    CA Unemployment rate                5.6   5.6   %
07-Feb 1330/0830 *** Jan    US nonfarm payrolls                 145   160 k 
07-Feb 1330/0830 *** Jan    US private payrolls                 139   150 k 
07-Feb 1330/0830 *** Jan    US unemployment rate                3.5   3.5   %
07-Feb 1330/0830 *** Jan    US average hourly earnings          0.1   0.3   %
07-Feb 1330/0830 *** Jan    US average workweek, all workers   34.3  34.3   hrs
07-Feb 1500/1000 **  Dec    US wholesale inventories           -0.1  -0.1   %
07-Feb 1500/1000 **  Dec    US wholesale sales                  1.5   0.1   %
07-Feb 1500/1000 **  Jan    CA Ivey PMI (SA)                   51.9    --
07-Feb 1600/1100 **  Q1     US St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast    --    --   %
07-Feb 1615/1115 **  Q1     US NY Fed GDP Nowcast              1.32    --   %
07-Feb 2000/1500 *   Dec    US consumer credit                12.513 15.0 b USD
10-Feb     -     *** Jan    CN M2 ytd y/y (date tba)            8.7    --   %
10-Feb     -     *** Jan    CN new loans (date tba)            1.14    -- t CNY
10-Feb     -     *** Jan    CN social financing (date tba)     2.10    -- t CNY
10-Feb 0130/0930 *** Jan    CN CPI y/y                          4.5    --   %
10-Feb 0130/0930 *** Jan    CN PPI y/y                         -0.5    --   %
10-Feb 0645/0745 **  Jan    CH unemployment rate                 --    --   %
10-Feb 0645/0745 **  Jan    CH unemployment m/m                  --    --   %
10-Feb 0645/0745 **  Jan    CH unemployment y/y                  --    --   %
10-Feb 0730/0830 *** Jan    CH CPI m/m                          0.0    --   %
10-Feb 0730/0830 *** Jan    CH CPI y/y                          0.2    --   %
10-Feb 0730/0830 **  Jan    FR BOF Manufacturing Sentiment       --    --
                                 Index
10-Feb 0730/0830 **  Jan    FR BOF Services Sentiment Index      --    --
10-Feb 1315/0815 **  Jan    CA CMHC housing starts            197.3    -- k 
10-Feb 1330/0830 *   Dec    CA Building permits                -2.4    --   %
10-Feb 1600/1100 **  Feb    US NY Fed expectations survey        --    --
11-Feb     -     *** Jan    CN M2 ytd y/y (date tba)            8.7    --   %
11-Feb     -     *** Jan    CN new loans (date tba)            1.14    -- t CNY
11-Feb     -     *** Jan    CN social financing (date tba)     2.10    -- t CNY
11-Feb 0001/0001 *   Jan    UK BRC like for like sales y/y       --    --   %
11-Feb 0001/0001 *   Jan    UK BRC total sales y/y               --    --   %
11-Feb 0930/0930 *** Q4     UK GDP (1st) q/q                     --    --   %
11-Feb 0930/0930 *** Q4     UK GDP (1st) y/y                     --    --   %
11-Feb 0930/0930 **  Dec    UK total trade balance               --    -- b GBP
11-Feb 0930/0930 **  Dec    UK visible trade balance             --    -- b GBP
11-Feb 0930/0930 **  Dec    UK non-EU trade balance              --    -- b GBP
11-Feb 0930/0930 *** Dec    UK Manufacturing output m/m          --    --   %
11-Feb 0930/0930 *** Dec    UK Manufacturing output y/y          --    --   %
11-Feb 0930/0930 *** Dec    UK Industrial production m/m         --    --   %
11-Feb 0930/0930 *** Dec    UK Industrial production y/y         --    --   %
11-Feb 0930/0930 **  Jan    UK Index of Services m/m             --    --   %
11-Feb 0930/0930 **  Jan    UK Index of Services 3m/3m           --    --   %
11-Feb 0930/0930 **  Dec    UK construction output m/m           --    --   %
11-Feb 0930/0930 **  Dec    UK construction output y/y           --    --   %
11-Feb 1100/0600 **  Jan    US NFIB Small Business Index         --    --
11-Feb 1355/0855 **  08-Feb US Redbook retail sales m/m          --    --   %
11-Feb 1500/1000 **  Dec    US JOLTS job openings level          --    -- k 
11-Feb 1500/1000 **  Dec    US JOLTS quits rate                  --    --   %
12-Feb     -     *** Jan    CN M2 ytd y/y (date tba)            8.7    --   %
12-Feb     -     *** Jan    CN new loans (date tba)            1.14    -- t CNY
12-Feb     -     *** Jan    CN social financing (date tba)     2.10    -- t CNY
12-Feb 1000/1100 **  Dec    EU industrial production m/m        0.2    --   %
12-Feb 1000/1100 **  Dec    EU industrial production y/y wda   -1.5    --   %
12-Feb 1200/0700 **  07-Feb US MBA Mortgage Applications         --    --   %
12-Feb 1530/1030 **  07-Feb US crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w      --    -- m bbl
12-Feb 1900/1400 **  Jan    US Treasury budget balance           --    -- b USD
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: brooke.migdon@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]

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