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GoCs Underperform Tsys After Two Day Holiday Distortion

CANADA
  • USDCAD may have pushed higher after two days of holiday-distorted trade but there’s a disconnect with GoC performance to Tsys, at least in the past few days.
  • GoCs trade 0-2bps cheaper across the curve, underperforming Tsys in all but the very long end, and compared to Friday’s close for a cleaner non-holiday read, see yields 4.5-6bps higher vs 1-2bps for Tsys.
  • However, the 3.5bp tightening in the Can-US 2Y yield spread to -28bps only chips away at Friday’s sizeable widening after monthly GDP and the BoC’s Q2 surveys, from -20bps prior.
  • A quiet CAD docket today sees FI drivers firmly sitting with headlines and the FOMC minutes later in the session.

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