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Goldman Sachs note that "the Ministry of........>

YEN
YEN: Goldman Sachs note that "the Ministry of Finance reported unusually large
sales of foreign assets by Japanese investors in the week ending July 10. The
figures imply the largest one-week sale of foreign equities since at least 2005
(when the current reporting structure began), by a large margin. The Yen did not
appear to reflect a large repatriation of overseas assets during the reporting
week, but we are closely monitoring the potential for FX repatriation flows to
follow. In terms of the broader flow picture, portfolio outflows from Japan
persisted in Q2, but slowed relative to earlier in the year. Therefore, we still
see a good case for including USD/JPY shorts in portfolios for diversification
purposes, particularly alongside pro-cyclical longs. We see three main reasons
to use the Yen as a portfolio hedge at current levels: (i) it remains the only
undervalued safe haven currency, (ii) lower US yields implies a lower cost to
hold longs, and (iii) it can meet the growing need for an alternative hedging
asset as sovereign bonds become less effective."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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