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Free AccessGrowth In Permanent Arrivals Slows, Population On RBA’s Radar
Population growth has become a focus because of the pressure it has put on housing in terms of both rents and prices, but also the RBA made a number of mentions of it in the Overview of its November Statement on Monetary Policy. It said that more robust GDP growth was “partly the result of stronger-than-expected growth in population” and it believes that it will support activity over the coming quarters.
- September working age population grew at 2.8% y/y, a high for the series which begins in 1979. October will be released with Thursday’s labour market data. 3-month momentum remains strong although is down slightly on April.
- Today arrivals/departures data printed and showed that while permanent arrivals were still strong in September, the increase on a year ago is easing. In October 2022, permanent arrivals increased 70.2k y/y and in September that had moderated to 43.4k. But the total for the last 12 months at 140.7k is the highest in almost 10 years.
- With building approvals still lacklustre and the housing stock low, rising population is going to continue to put pressure on housing but also support consumption growth.
Source: MNI - Market News/ABS
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