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Headline CPI Seen Creeping Higher

SOUTH AFRICA
  • Bloomberg write that new data from the JSE shows that foreign bond-buying in South Africa was stronger than previously thought, with the JSE's new release detailing settled trades to more accurately capture flow and longer-term trends. The data showed a net $1.5bln of bond inflow in the year up to October 8th.
  • From today, children in South Africa aged 12 - 17 years will be able to get their COVID vaccine. Parental consent is not required.
  • Inflation data due at 1000 local time / 0900BST / 0400ET takes focus, with markets expecting Y/Y Core CPI to stick stubbornly to 3.1%. Headline CPI is seen rising to 5.0% on a Y/Y basis, just shy of the YTD high at 5.2% printed at end-May.
  • USDZAR is trading lower again today and has probed support at 14.5701, Sep 23 low. The pair has breached the 50-day EMA and a clear break of 14.5701 would signal scope for a deeper pullback. This would open 14.3444, 76.4% of the Sep 10 - 30 rally. On the upside, 14.8326, the 20-day EMA marks the initial resistance.
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3809 | edward.hardy@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3809 | edward.hardy@marketnews.com

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