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Henry Hub Holding Gains

NATURAL GAS

Henry Hub continues to trade higher during the day, boosted by a general geopolitical risk premium bolstering global gas markets. Colder weather forecasts have also provided support on the day to US natural gas prices.

  • US Natgas FEB 24 up 4.2% at 2.68$/mmbtu
  • US Natgas JUL 24 up 1.6% at 2.76$/mmbtu
  • A terrorist attack near the grave site of Iranian commander Qassem Soleimani in the central Iranian city of Kerman had added to tensions in the Middle East, already heightened due to yesterday's suspected Israeli drone attack which killed senior Hamas leader Saleh al-Arouri in the southern suburbs of Beirut.
  • Lower 48 natural gas demand is relatively unchanged on the day at 98.06bcf/d but well above the five-year average of 93.8bcf/d according to Bloomberg.
  • The latest weather forecast shows below normal temperatures spreading across from the west in the coming week but with above normal holding on the East Coast. Heating demand for the week to Jan 6 is forecast to be 31 HDD below the long term normal at 174 according to NOAA.
  • US natural gas production today fell to 103.69bcf/d, down from 104.97bcf/d yesterday and below the 30-day moving average of 105.05bcf/d.
  • Feedgas supplies to US LNG export terminals are down to 14.02bcf/d, from 14.72bcf/d yesterday and below the 30-day moving average of 14.63bcf/d. The drop in deliveries is due to a decline in flows to the Sabine Pass terminal to 4.32bcf/d, from 4.97bcf/d according to Bloomberg.

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