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Free AccessHistory Suggests Gasoline Demand Recovery Unlikely
Demand surveys from OPIS find no evidence of an imminent bounce in US gasoline demand
- OPIS suggest that historically demand falls after the end of the summer driving season with the last five years showing an average 377kbpd lower in September compared to August.
- EIA implied volatility data has been volatile over the summer but has trended down towards 2020 levels and well below the demand seen in 2019. The update weekly EIA data is due for release later this afternoon.
- They suggest increasing demand could come from the export market with the US net exporters of about one more cargo per month, increasing consumption by 370kbpd..
- Gasoline and diesel cracks spreads are drifting lower on the back of lower demand concerns before the release of the updated EIA inventory data later.
- US 321 crack down -1.6$/bbl at 31.2$/bbl
- US gasoline crack down -0.7$/bbl at 14.24$/bbl
- US ULSD crack down -2.8$/bbl at 65.02$/bbl
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.