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Housing Starts And Building Permits Miss In A Messy Report

US DATA
  • Both building permits and housing starts saw an ultimately sizeable miss in June but with some caveats.
  • Housing starts fell to 1434k annualized (cons 1480k) after a downward revised 1559k (initially 1631k), translating to a -8% decline after what was thought to have been a 21.7% jump in May was revised to a still strong 15.7%.
  • Single family starts fell -7% after +18.7%, multi-unit starts -9.9% after +10.6%. Declines were seen across major regions but heaviest in the Midwest.
  • Building permits meanwhile offered a cleaner read of an overall miss, falling -3.7% M/M (cons 0.2) after a strong 5.6% M/M increase.
  • However, the decline in permits was driven by multi-unit (-12.8%, and seemingly led almost entirely by the Northeast) whilst single family permits increased 2.2% for a fifth consecutive monthly increase as they continue the disconnect seen with multi-units.

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