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How soon can we get an increase in the remit? (1/2)

GILTS
  • An increase in the gilt remit could be imminent (MNI expects we will probably get an update this month). Remit revisions normally occur alongside Budgets or formal fiscal statements, and the DMO tends to base its estimates on OBR forecasts.
  • However, as we still don't know the timing of any emergency Truss budget today's energy price announcement (and the potentially large costs associated) may mean that we get an interim update as soon as in the next few days which may or may not cover the entire remainder of the fiscal year. There is precedent for not covering the whole fiscal year during the furlough scheme announcements. There is also precedent for not waiting for formal OBR forecast updates.
  • It's still unclear whether we will get any OBR estimates of the cost of the energy price policy ahead of a fiscal event, or whether we will just be relying on Treasury forecasts.

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