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HUF: From weakest to best performer

HUNGARY
  • Last month, the positive surprise in June CPI inflation combined with the series of legal disputes with the EU led to some HUF depreciation, which ended up being the second weakest performing currency among the CEEMEA market (after ZAR), down nearly 1.9% against the USD.
  • However, the bearish trend has reversed sharply since the NBH decision to raise the policy rate by another 30bps on July 27 (vs. 20bps expected).
  • HUF has been the best performing currency since then, up over 2.5% against the USD, with USDHUF erasing most of its July gains.
  • USDHUF is currently testing its 200DMA at 298.20; next support to watch on the downside stands at 296.50 (50DMA), followed by 295.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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