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Implied Jet Fuel Demand To Fall Slightly: BNEF

JET FUEL

Flight schedules for Aug. 15 -21 imply a reduction in global jet fuel demand by 0.2% on the week to 6.71m b/d, according to BNEF.

  • Jet fuel demand from domestic and international flights is set for a fall of 0.1% and 0.2%, respectively.
  • Jet fuel demand in all regions is set to rise compared to the same period in 2022, but only Asia and the MENA region will see a week-on-week boost.
  • In China, the number of domestic flights is set to rise by 0.5% in the next four weeks based on current schedules. However, last minute cancellations are frequent, so such growth is not guaranteed.
  • Asian jet fuel demand is expected to rise by 100k b/d from September to Q4, according to FGE, owing to China’s ending of restrictions on group tours to 78 states. This comprised around 60% of Chinese pre-pandemic tourist spending.
  • As of Aug. 11, US Gulf Coast 54, Rotterdam, and Singapore jet kerosene prices continued trending upwards, gaining by $4.66/b, $4.21/b and $3.76/b on the week respectively. However, Jet fuel prices are still lower than the same week a year ago.


Source: Bloomberg

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