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Free AccessINDIA: USD/INR Hovers Close to Record Highs, RBI Minutes in Focus
USD/INR continues to trade close to record highs, as the local currency struggles to benefit from the rally across Asia FX this month. Similarly, an extension of the bearish reversal in crude prices has not offered the rupee any relief, as Reuters continue to cite local importer demand for dollars as a source of weakness. Out of the major Asia currencies, only the rupee has recorded spot losses versus the dollar in August (see chart below).
- Meanwhile, the needle was not shifted by Indian PMIs, which remained firmly in expansive territory in July, albeit with some signs of moderating in manufacturing. Services expanded to 60.4 in August versus 60.3 in July, while manufacturing moderated to 57.9 from 58.1. The latter is still in highly expansive territory and the moderating will therefore give little concern to the RBI at this stage.
- The RBI will release the minutes of the Aug 8 rate-setting meeting at 12:30BST/17:00 local time. Rates were left unchanged at that meeting, with a shallow easing cycle broadly expected to begin towards the end of the year.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.