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Japan Aug Consumer Confidence Slips on Bad Weather; Trend Flat

--Japan Aug Consumer Confidence Index 43.3 Vs July 43.8
--Japan Aug Consumer Confidence Posts 1st M/M Drop in 2 Months
--Japan Govt Downgrades View: Consumer Confidence Largely Flat
     TOKYO (MNI) - The Cabinet Office on Friday released the results of its
latest monthly Consumer Confidence Survey of households with two or more people,
which was conducted on Aug. 15.
     * Japan's consumer confidence index slipped 0.5 point to 43.3 in August on
a seasonally adjusted basis, posting the first month-on-month drop in two months
after rising 0.5 point to 43.8 in July, hit by bad weather and heightened
tensions between North Korea and the U.S.
     * The government downgraded its assessment for the first time in nine
months, saying confidence was "largely flat," instead of the previous state of
"picking up" seen for the five months through July. The confidence level is
still considered fairly high but the index's three-month moving average for the
June-August period fell after rising in the May-July period. The index has shown
ups and downs in the past several months.
     * Consumers were more pessimistic about all of the four key aspects that
affect their sentiment -- overall economic well-being, income gains, job
prospects and whether it would be a good time to buy durable goods over the next
six months.
     * "The long stretch of rainy days and the lack of sunshine dampened the
confidence in the Tohoku and Hokuriku regions (in northern and central Japan),
pushing down the overall confidence level." said Toshimi Nishizaki, director of
the Department of Business Statistics at the Cabinet Office. "People in those
regions saw their farming communities suffer and tourism was also hurt."
     * "Escalating geopolitical risks caused the yen to appreciate and stock
prices to fall, another factor behind the fall in consumer confidence,"
Nishizaki said.
     * The index on asset prices, which is not one of the four sub-indexes used
to calculate overall consumer confidence, showed its first month-on-month fall
in two months, down 1.1 points in August after rising 1.8 points the previous
month.
     * The survey also showed that the public's inflation expectations for 12
months ahead picked up in August. The share of those projecting price rises
increased to 76.1% from 75.8% in July. It was the first rise in two months. The
share of respondents forecasting lower prices decreased to 3.5% from 4.2%, the
first drop in two months. The prices of household goods have been rising in
recent months.
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-4670-5309; email: max.sato@marketnews.com
--MNI BEIJING Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: john.carter@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MAJDS$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$,MT$$$$]

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