September 20, 2024 03:38 GMT
JGBS: Cash Bonds Cheaper After BoJ Target Rate Left Unchanged
JGBS
JGB futures have opened the afternoon session weaker, -7 compared to the settlement levels.
- As unanimously expected, the BoJ, with a 9 to 0 vote, left the unsecured overnight call rate at 0.25%, signaling no need to hurry with interest rate hikes.
- The BoJ highlighted the need to monitor the impact of market movements on the economy and inflation, noting high uncertainties in both areas. Despite this, Japan's economy is expected to continue to grow above its potential rate.
- The BoJ also emphasised the importance of paying close attention to financial and forex markets, acknowledging that exchange rates are now more likely to influence prices than in the past.
- The BoJ noted that the year-on-year rise in core CPI has been in the 2.5%-3% range recently. It expects inflation to align with its target in the latter part of the projection period. The central bank also highlighted that exchange rate developments are more likely to impact prices and anticipate a rise in medium-to-long-term inflation expectations.
- Cash US tsys are 1-2bps richer in today’s Asia-Pac session.
- Cash JGBs are weaker across benchmarks with the 1-year the underperformer (+3.8bps).
- Swap rates are flat to 1bp higher. Swap spreads are mixed.
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