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KC Pres George, As Expected, Comes Out Hawkish
Not a big surprise to hear KC Fed Pres George calling for the Fed to dial back QE with "substantial further progress" already met, in her view. At a guess, she's probably been in favor of tapering sooner rather than later for some time, but she hasn't made public comments since May.
- She's not a 2021 FOMC voter, but she does vote in 2022 - so her comment "it is important to note the timing of the tapering of asset purchases is not mechanically connected to the timing of any policy rate adjustment" is of particular interest. That said, it's more likely than not she's in the 2022 hike camp.
- That George came out hawkish is not a market mover (she's about as hawkish as they come in our spectrum - see chart) - Treasuries barely budged on the comments.
- The question remains whether the core of the FOMC (mainly Powell, Williams and Brainard - Clarida is moving toward the center already) - will begin to change their tune on an earlier taper, as have many/most of the regional presidents.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.