Free Trial

Late SOFR/Treasury Option Roundup: Better Puts ahead NFP

US TSYS

Better put trade reported on net Thursday though overall volumes remain subdued after the BOE 25bp hike (expected). Underlying futures see-sawed near session lows, curves bear steepened to three month highs in the lead-up to Friday's July employment data. Little change in rate hike projections through year end, Sep 20 FOMC is 17% w/ implied rate change of +4.3bp to 5.371%. November cumulative of +9bp at 5.419, December cumulative of 6bp at 5.389%. Fed terminal holding at 5.42% in Nov'23.

  • SOFR Options:
    • Block 5,000 SFRZ3 94.50/94.62 put spds 2.5 over SFRZ3 94.75/95.00 call spds ref 94.62
    • -10,000 SFRU3 94.56/94.62/94.75 put trees, 6.75
    • 5,200 SFRZ3 94.68 straddles, 33.0
    • 12,000 SFRV3 94.50 puts, ref 94.63 to -.625
    • 4,000 SFRX3 94.87 calls ref 94.63
    • 1,000 2QQ3 96.00/96.18 3x2 put spds ref 96.32
    • 2,000 2QQ3 96.00 puts, 2.5 ref 96.33
  • Treasury Options:
    • Block, +9,106 TYV3 110/114 strangles, 117 ref 110-23.5
    • +5,000 TYU3 108.25/112 call over risk reversals, 1 net
    • Block, 21,000 TYU3 107/108.5 put spds, 11-12 ref 110-13 to -14
    • 1,250 FVU3 107.25/108.25 call spds ref 106-13.5
    • 6,000 TYU3 107/108.5 put spds, 12 ref 110-13
    • over 10,500 TYU3 109.5 puts, 31-34 ref 110-12.5 to -11.5
    • 1,500 USU3 114/117 put spds ref 120-29
    • 1,800 USU3 116/119 put spds ref 121-26

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.