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Limited downward pressure this morning

STIR FUTURES

There is downward pressure across global STIR markets this morning, although moves have been rather limited and Eurodollar futures have largely failed to move below yesterday's close. The consistent point across all strips is that they are above yesterday's lows.

  • We noted yesterday that there had been some decoupling of the Euribor strip from other futures contracts, with a repricing of ECB expectations not having as much impact on ED/SONIA futures as has been the case in the past. We still think that this is because there is already so much priced into these curves that a more hawkish ECB does little to change the picture. It is only geopolitical or commodity price moves that can see significantly more added to current market pricing.

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