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Little Changed, Futures Stick Within Yesterday’s Range

GILTS

Futures (Z4) have stuck with yesterday’s range, last -6 at 98.74.

  • Yields little changed to 1bp higher.
  • Gilts have followed the lead of wider core global FI markets today.
  • The initial rally came alongside some weakness in crude oil.
  • A move away from session highs was then seen as EGBs came under some hedging pressure stemming from pricing of some large EUR IG/sovereign deals.
  • A panel appearance from BoE hawk Mann failed to generate headlines.
  • We suggested this may be the case ahead of time, as there was no livestream of the event. A recording of the discussion will be released at some point, although we don’t have a firm time.
  • BoE-dated OIS pricing has been sticky, showing just under 40bp of cuts through the Dec MPC at typing.
  • Recent BoE communique has remained non-committal when it comes to the idea of follow up easing, providing some hawkish impetus for GBP STIRs.
  • The local calendar is empty on Thursday, with participants looking ahead to the release of DMO’s quarterly issuance calendar on Friday.
BoE MeetingSONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%)Difference Vs. Current Effective SONIA Rate (bp)
Sep-244.911-3.9
Nov-244.697-25.3
Dec-244.559-39.2
Feb-254.361-58.9
Mar-254.222-72.9
May-254.059-89.1
Jun-253.966-98.4
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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