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Lufthansa (LHAGR; Baa3, BBB-, BBB-; S) IPT

TRANSPORTATION

IPT +170 vs. FV +125

  • Its pointed out its the only full IG rated network carrier- a fair point to note & means for IG mandates there is now spread pick up against EasyJet 31s to a larger scale (though weaker near term outlook) sector comp.
  • Nothing new in roadshow with our key takes from recent below. Not much trades wide of IG airlines in consumer/transport - which we think is fair - no firm view from us on Lufty from here.

Key points from us to reiterate; we don't see near-term rating risk, FCF guidance has been revised down to >€1b (from >€1.5b, c€1.2b), capacity expected at 92% of '19 levels this yr, 8% EBIT margin target not expected to be reached in near-future by consensus, FY Guidance has a recovery baked in through the year, dividends restarted at ~€360m this year (€0.3/share), leverage net 1.7x.


1Q Earnings; https://marketnews.com/lufthansa-lhagr-baa3-bbb-bb...

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