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Maintains Recent Ranges, Local Equities Close To Recent Lows

PHP

USD/PHP continues to track recent ranges, the pair last at 56.72, similar to closing levels from yesterday. Current USD/PHP levels continue to look a little elevated relative to BBDXY trends, but the divergence is not large. The pair remains comfortably within broad recent ranges of 56.50/57.00.

  • Tomorrow, we get July remittances, the market expects the level to rise slightly to just under $3bn, which would take the y/y pace to 2.5% (form 2.1%).
  • The next big domestic focus point is likely to be next Thursday's BSP decision. No change is expected in the policy rate at this stage (currently 6.25%).
  • Local equities are tracking higher today, but are only a touch above recent lows, last near 6160 in index terms. The 6140 support level held towards the end of August, but if we break below this level it would be back to levels last seen in Nov 2022. Offshore investors remain net sellers of local equities, with nearly $200mn in outflows in September to date.
  • Property developers have been under pressure in recent dealings, as a BSP pivot towards easing policy settings has arguably been pushed into 2024.

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