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Free AccessMarket Roundup: Mixed PPI, Short End Remains Under Pressure
Tsy futures trading mixed, curves flatter (2s10s -3.411 to -38.209) with long end see-sawing off early session lows after August PPI ex-food, energy gain 0.4% MoM, higher than anticipated 0.3%, 30YY taps 3.5403% briefly w/ futures drawing healthy buy interest on lows as data viewed as mixed on net.
- Off lows as well -- the short end remains under pressure amid ongoing speculation of 100bp rate hike from the Fed next week while analysts predominantly expect 75bp hike.
- Technicals for Dec 10Y currently at 115-01 (+2.5): Yesterday’s break confirmed a resumption of the current bear cycle that started Aug 2. Sights are on the key support at 114-06, the Jun 14 low. A break of this level would confirm an important technical break and highlight a resumption of the broader downtrend, exposing the 114-00 handle. Initial firm resistance is at 116-26, the Sep 2 high.
- With PPI out of the way, focus turns to Thu's weekly claims, retail sales and import/export prices.
- Currently, 2-Yr yield is up 2.8bps at 3.7839%, 5-Yr is up 0.7bps at 3.586%, 10-Yr is up 0bps at 3.4081%, and 30-Yr is down 0.1bps at 3.4859%.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.