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Price Signal Summary - All-Time High In Gold Appears Exposed
- In the equity space, the trend needle continues to point south although bearish pressure has eased for now and markets are correcting higher. S&P E-minis key support lies at 4101.75, the Feb 24 low. A break of this level would confirm a resumption of the downtrend. The 20-day EMA, at 4349.88, represents an important near-term resistance. Price has recently failed to hold above this EMA. A clear break of it would suggest scope for a stronger corrective bounce. EUROSTOXX 50 futures are trading higher today as the contract extends the recovery from 3380.00, the Mar 7 low. A continuation higher would open the 20-day EMA at 3862.20. The bear trigger is unchanged at 3380.00.
- In FX, EURUSD remains in a downtrend and continues to appear vulnerable. Short-term gains are considered corrective. The focus is on 1.0767 next, the May 7 2020 low. GBPUSD remains weak following Monday's breach of its key near-term support at 1.3163, the Dec 8 low. The break confirms a resumption of the downtrend and opens 1.3058 next, 1.50 projection of the Jan 13 - 27 - Feb 10 price swing. Intraday gains are considered corrective. USDJPY key short-term support at 114.16, the Feb 2 low, remains intact. The USD continues to appreciate this week and attention is on the key resistance and bull trigger at 116.35, this year’s high on Jan 4.
- On the commodity front, Gold traded higher once again on Tuesday and remains above the $2000.0 handle. Trend conditions are bullish and the focus is on $2075.5 - High Aug 7 2020 and the all-time high. Oil markets are volatile but remain in an uptrend. The next objective in WTI is $132.75, 3.618 projection of the Aug - Oct - Dec ‘21 price swing.
- In the FI space, Bund futures continue to weaken as the contract extends the pullback from 168.67, Monday’s high. This has opened 163.19, 76.4% retracement of the Feb 10 - Mar 7 rally. A break would open the key support at 161.50, the Feb 10 low. Gilts are trading lower too and approaching 122.46, 76.4% retracement of the Feb 16 - Mar 1 rally and 122.04, the Feb 23 low.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.