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MBA Mortgage Applications Slip As Rates Back Near Cycle Highs

US DATA
  • MBA mortgage applications fell -3.1% last week, with broadly equal declines in purchases (-3%) and refis (-4%) for the second week running.
  • It comes as the 30Y conforming mortgage rate increased 16bps to 7.09% to push back within touching distance of its Oct’22 cycle high of 7.16%, with the spread to Treasury yields still sticky at the ~300bps mark.
  • The level of purchase applications is just 3.5% above the Feb’23 cycle low, below which application levels were last seen in the 1990s.

MBA 30Y rate (white), 10Y Tsy yields (pink), spread (red) and level of purchase applications (green)Source: Bloomberg

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