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MEXICO: USDMXN Retesting 50-day EMA, Consumer Confidence Data Due

MEXICO
  • The strong performance for major equity benchmarks on Friday prompted a late rally for the Mexican peso. This theme has moderately extended during today’s session and USDMXN is now retesting the 50-day EMA support. We note that the pair has not had a daily close below this average since mid-July and a sustained breach would undermine a bullish theme, signalling scope for a move towards 18.5999, the Aug 16 low.
  • According to a Bloomberg article, money managers such as Amundi SA, NWI Management and UBS are building bullish bets on the Mexican peso, wading back in just ahead of the US presidential election. A growing number of investors argue the currency will do fine whoever wins the White House in November, with some citing Mexican interest rates at 10.5% as too high to miss out on.
  • Domestic consumer confidence data (1300BST/0800ET) for September is expected to remain unchanged from the prior month at 47.6. Liquidity may be impacted by the US Columbus Day holiday.
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  • The strong performance for major equity benchmarks on Friday prompted a late rally for the Mexican peso. This theme has moderately extended during today’s session and USDMXN is now retesting the 50-day EMA support. We note that the pair has not had a daily close below this average since mid-July and a sustained breach would undermine a bullish theme, signalling scope for a move towards 18.5999, the Aug 16 low.
  • According to a Bloomberg article, money managers such as Amundi SA, NWI Management and UBS are building bullish bets on the Mexican peso, wading back in just ahead of the US presidential election. A growing number of investors argue the currency will do fine whoever wins the White House in November, with some citing Mexican interest rates at 10.5% as too high to miss out on.
  • Domestic consumer confidence data (1300BST/0800ET) for September is expected to remain unchanged from the prior month at 47.6. Liquidity may be impacted by the US Columbus Day holiday.