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MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
MNI 5 THINGS:BOC Biz Survey: Biz Sentiment Still Positive>
By Courtney Tower
OTTAWA (MNI) - Bank of Canada's Spring Business Outlook Survey
made the following points Monday, highlighting continued positive though
somewhat reduced optimism for sales growth and capital investment, and
high intentions for hiring more employees:
- The survey of 100 representative Canadian firms' senior
executives, taken February 12-March 9, found firms expect sales to grow
at a faster pace over the next 12 months. The balance of opinion, at 16,
doubled the balance of 8 in the previous survey. Expectations for U.S.
growth strengthened although some firms cited rising protectionism as a
factor limiting the impact on their sales, along with lower
competitiveness.
- On planned investment in machinery and equipment, on which the
Bank of Canada has long depended as a coming pillar of the economy,
intentions edged down from recent high levels. The balance of opinion
fell to 24 from 29. But the BOC said investment intentions remain
"widespread."
- Intentions on hiring continued positive, in an environment in
which the 5.8% unemployment rate is at a record low. The balance of
opinion on hiring rose to 45 from 40 in the previous survey, with 54% of
firms expecting to hire more employees. Firms expecting to hire more
cited a need to support future sales growth, or plans for expansion, the
survey said.
- Firms expecting labor shortages in future dropped from 30% to
26%. There was a strong 35 balance of opinion that shortages would
become more intense. The indicator of production capacity pressures
moderated but remained close to recent high levels. Main problem was
labor-related constraints.
- On inflation, there was a general expectation that inflation in
Canada would rise, but remain within the Bank of Canada's 1%-3% target
range. Now, 53% of firms expect it to be in the upper half of the range,
the highest percentage since the second quarter 2012. Firms cited rising
labor costs, and, to a lesser extent, minimum wage increases and higher
prices for some commodities.
MNI Ottawa Bureau; email: yali.ndiaye@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$B$$$,M$C$S$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.