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**MNI: 5 Things We Learned From China GDP Data

MNI (London)
     **BEIJING (MNI) - The following are the key points from the China Q4 GDP
data released by the National Bureau of Statistics Thursday:
     --China's economy came in stronger than expected in the fourth quarter of
2017, with real GDP rising an annualised 6.8% y/y. The annual GDP growth in 2017
was 6.9%, the same as Premier Li Keqiang had indicated last week, underlining
that economic condition in China remain stable.
     --Retail sales grew 9.4% m/m in December, much lower than the market
expectation of a 10.2% gain seen in the MNI survey, but in line with the weak
import data. There is a need to see further evidence as to whether this is a
sign of weakening domestic demand. That said, it is an ominous warning sign,
suggesting an increase in downward economic pressure.
     --Industrial output grew 6.2% in December, compared with the MNI survey
median of 6.0% and the 6.1% recorded in November. This comes as no surprise as
MNI noted in its '5 things to look for' preview that industrial output tends to
pick up in end-month of a quarter, although December has seen a lower
outperformance than those recorded in March, June and September. More evidence
is therefore needed before concluding that industrial output is on a bounce-back
path.   
     --The annual infrastructure investment growth rate is 19%, compared than
20.1% during the period from January to November this year, and 17.4% in 2016.
Infrastructure investment remains strong, remaining an important pillar to
support China economic growth.
     --Real estate investment grew 7.0% y/y in 2017, compared with 6.9% in 2016
and 7.5% during the period from January to November. Real estate investment
growth has been trending down since April, showing the government's policies to
curb the real estate sector has worked. It remains to be seen whether the
government will relax its controls on the real estate market marginally in 2018,
with some signs now pointing to this direction.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 85325998; email: he.wei@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MAQDS$,MAUDR$,MAUDS$,MDQCB$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,M$U$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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