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MNI: Canada Sept Trade Gap Unchanged, 3Q Deteriorates Sharply>
By Courtney Tower
OTTAWA (MNI) - Canadian goods trade balance was unchanged in
September from August this year, with a deficit of C$3.2 billion with
the world, and was down sharply in the third quarter, all largely on
weaker car and light truck sales to the United States, Statistics Canada
reported Friday.
The September result was slightly weaker than expected by analysts
in an MNI survey, who foresaw a C$3.0 billion deficit on the month.
For September, exports were down 0.3% on lower passenger car and
light truck exports. Imports were down the same 0.3%, on lower prices.
The decrease in September exports was the fourth consecutive monthly
decline since a record high in May.
Exports of motor vehicles and parts fell 10.6% in the month and
were down 17.2% year-over-year. This decline in September to the lowest
level since February 2015, was largely offset by energy products rising
7.2% on the month, and 25.7% on the year. Exports of passengers cars and
light trucks were the main negative factor in the sector, falling 15.6%.
Work stoppages in the automotive industry were said to be
responsible for the decline in September, and "changes to certain models
for the American market."
Exports to the United States fell 1.2% in September on the lower
sales of cars and light trucks, while imports from the U.S. rose 0.4%.
Canada's trade surplus with the United States, then, narrowed from C$2.7
billion in August to C$$2.2 billion in September.
Canada's third quarter deficit with the world sharply increased to
C$9.4 billion from C$5.5 billion in the second quarter.
A factor in the export declines was the rise in strength of the
Canadian dollar, by 5.5 US cents in the third quarter and by 2.1 US
cents in September.
After four straight quarterly gains, exports fell 7.9% to C$131.2
billion in the third quarter this year, the largest decrease since the
second quarter of 2009. "Motor vehicles and parts contributed the most
to the decline," Statistics Canada said. Imports were down 4.9% in the
third quarter, on widespread declines throughout sectors.
The drop of 7.9% in nominal exports compared with a gain of 2.7% in
the second quarter. The drop of 4.9% in nominal imports compared with an
increase of 5.1% in the second quarter.
Export prices fell 4.8% in the quarter (+0.3% in the second) and
import prices declined 4.6%, the largest drop since the second quarter
of 2003, versus a gain of 2.0% in the second quarter.
Real exports declined 3.2% in the third quarter, after a gain of
2.4% in the second, mainly on lower exports of motor vehicles and parts.
Real imports edged down 0.2% in the third quarter.
Canada's real trade balance deteriorated sharply in the third
quarter, to a C$3.4 billion deficit from a C$0.3 billion surplus in the
second.
In September, the 0.3% decline in imports was led by a 4.6% decline
in electronic and electrical equipment. Imports of consumer goods fell
1.9%, a fifth straight monthly decline.
Canada's trade deficit with countries other than the United States
improved slightly, to -C$5.3 billion from -C$5.8 billion in August.
--MNI Ottawa Bureau; email:yali.ndiaye@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$C$$$,MACDS$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.