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Free AccessMNI China Daily Summary: Monday, February 5
TOP NEWS: Activity in China's service sector expanded in January at the
strongest pace in almost seven years after increasing new orders, according to
the latest survey of purchasing managers jointly released by Caixin and Markit.
The Caixin Service PMI rose to 54.7 in January from 53.9 in December, the
highest level since May, 2012. This marks the fourth month of the index
strengthening. Total new orders placed with Chinese service providers in January
increased by the highest pace in 32 months. The amount of outstanding orders
ended its four-month decline to stand at 50 - meaning it was unchanged from
December. The cost burden on service companies rose sharply. The rate of input
price inflation was the highest since April 2012.
LIQUIDITY: PBOC skipped its Open Market Operations (OMO), stating on its
website that the liquidity in the banking system is "relatively high", which can
absorb the effects of maturing reverse repos and cash withdrawals, the same
wording as given the previous two trading days. There was a net drain of CNY40
billion today after same amount of reverse repos mature. A total of CNY220
billion in reverse repos will mature this week
RATES: Interbank market rates diverged after PBOC's inaction in open-market
operation. The 7-day repo average last at 2.7190%, lower than 2.7445% Friday,
while the overnight repo average 2.5173%, up from 2.4835% yesterday. Today was
the eighth trading day that the central bank skipped its OMOs, which has drained
a net CNY1190 billion.
YUAN: The yuan weakened to 6.2970 against the U.S. dollar from Friday's
6.2798 closing, following today's weaker fixing. The PBOC set the yuan central
parity rate vs the U.S. dollar at 6.3019, weaker than last Friday's 6.2885.
***COMMENT: As the U.S index picks up, the yuan started to get weak in February
but at a slow pace. The yuan index against 24 basket currencies continued to
rise to almost 18 months high, which means the robust economic fundamentals of
China has also provided a strong support to the yuan's appreciation.
BONDS: Yield on 10-year China government bonds last traded 3.9200%, up from
Friday's close 3.9100%: Wind Information.
STOCK: The Shanghai Composite Index closed up 0.73% to 3487.50, while Hong
Kong's Hang Seng Index was last at 32,258.23, down 1.05%.
FROM THE PRESS: China's two-pillar macro-control framework, comprised of
monetary and macro-prudential policies, will be improved to maintain financial
stability, Financial News reported, citing officials and analysts. The monetary
policy smoothen economic cycles taking into account of CPI, while the
macro-prudential policy is pegged to broad credit and property prices. The
macro-prudential policy will focus on regulating banking institutions, including
leverage ratio, liabilities structure, and cross-border capital flow.
Non-banking institutions, including their businesses such as wealth management
products, fin-tech and shadow banking, will also be regulated, said Chen Ji,
senior researcher of Bank of Communication.
***COMMENT: Banks need to reduce interbank liabilities and contract assets to
meet strict regulation. This will cut down the total amount of negotiable
certificates of deposit, and reduce competition in attracting general deposits.
The internationalization of the yuan will accelerate in 2018 due to policy
support, as well as a receptive market and international environment, said the
Economic Information Daily in a front-page commentary. - Yuan payments will see
an increase in countries along the One Belt, One Road Initiative - Market
mechanisms will be further optimized as the Shanghai-London Connect and the
yuan-priced crude oil futures are expected to be launched in due course.
Rising capital costs caused by deleveraging is hurting the real economy and
financial institutions, the 21st Century Business Herald reported. Companies
have found it harder to raise funds as banks have slowed credit provision under
strict regulation, while high rates of bond issuance constrain the effects of
direct funding. Banks are also in difficulty as the gain in money market rates
is faster than the growth of interest rates.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532 5998; email: marissa.wang@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MBQ$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.