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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: China November PMI Rises Further Above 50
MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
MNI China Daily Summary: Tuesday, June 5
EXCLUSIVE: The People's Bank of China's move Friday to increase the
collateral range for its medium-term lending facility (MLF) loans was a
liquidity operation, used in place of another reserve requirement ratio (RRR)
cut to avoid sending a strong easing signal, a source at the central bank told
MNI Monday. "The RRR cut is indeed a cross-board way to release liquidity, but
it would send too strong signal for easing, particularly when stabilizing
leveraging is still the priority for policymakers," the PBOC source said. "The
(expanded MLF collateral) operation is to inject liquidity, since some banks
have inadequate MLF collateral, which were usually high-rated bonds," the source
added.
EXCLUSIVE: China is skeptical about signing a long-term trade deal with the
U.S., a trade advisor to the government said Monday in an interview with MNI.
"The Trump administration's tariff threat before the U.S. negotiating team
arrived in China went too far," Mei Xinyu, an advisor to China's Ministry of
Commerce said. "China may not be willing to sign a long-term deal with the U.S."
as President Donald Trump flip-flops on policies that damage the credibility of
the Washington administration. China will not and should not sign any deal to
promise a specific percentage or dollar cut to the U.S. trade deficit as "it is
against economic principles", said Mei, a trade commenter whose articles are
often published by the state media representing the government's opinions.
POLICY: Moody's Investors Service said that China (A1 stable) is moving
ahead on changes in its economic structure, a credit positive. The pace of
shifts between sectors has risen, with the higher value-added component of the
economy increasing. "If such measures lead to a reallocation of labor and
capital resources that shift credit towards sectors with higher productivity
growth, it will support the Chinese government's credit quality by increasing
its debt-carrying ability," says Marie Diron, a Managing Director for Moody's
Sovereign Risk Group.
LIQUIDITY: The PBOC injected CNY70 billion and CNY50 billion in 7-day and
28-day reverse repos on Tuesday, with rates unchanged at 2.55% and 2.85%,
respectively, according to a statement on the PBOC website. It resulted in CNY30
billion net drain as a total of CNY150 billion reverse repos matured today, the
first net drain since May 23, according to Wind Information. CFETS-ICAP's
money-market sentiment index closed at 39 on Monday, up from 37 on Friday.
DATA: Caixin May Service PMI was 52.9, flat with 52.9 in April.
MONEY MARKET RATES: 7-day repo average dropped to 2.7270% from 2.7445%
Monday, after the PBOC drained CNY30 billion via OMOs. The overnight repo
average decreased to 2.5521% from Monday's 2.5727%.
YUAN: The yuan rose to 6.4065 against the dollar from Monday's closing of
6.4123. Earlier today, the PBOC set the yuan central parity rate at 6.4157,
stronger than Monday's 6.4208. The central bank has set a stronger fixing for
three out of last four trading days.
BONDS: The yield on benchmark 10-year China Government Bond was last at
3.6650%, up from the previous close of 3.6500, according to Wind Information.
STOCKS: Shares rose in Shanghai, led by healthcare companies as inclusion
into the MSCI indexes helped boost investors' confidence, with Hunan Jiudian
Pharmaceutical Co. up by the daily-limit 10%. The benchmark Shanghai Composite
Index closed 0.74% higher at 3,114.21. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index gained 0.08%
to 31,023.37.
FROM THE PRESS: Though the PBOC's expansion of collaterals of medium-term
lending facilities helped regain the market's confidence in corporate bonds,
liquidity and bond defaults may not recover immediately, China Securities
Journal reported. Investors are more cautious in investing in the bond market
after recent frequent bond defaults, the newspaper said, citing analysts
including an anonymous fixed-income fund manager. Bond defaults are mainly in
property companies and municipal investment and construction companies, which
are not transmitted to the PPI and CPI, and are thus not affecting the
macro-economy, it said, citing AMP Limited.
Property sales were robust in May despite tighter policy controls,
Securities Times reported. Sales in 29 major cities monitored by the CRIC
Research Center rose 3% m/m, while the y/y growth was flat, the newspaper said.
Property controls increased, with the property regulator issuing six policies in
10 days, and 15 cities announcing tighter policy controls. Property companies
accelerating property sales to get cash that would relieve financing pressure
and to improve their half-year results helped with the robust sales in May. In
addition, the government's restriction on listing prices of new homes led to new
property units being priced lower than second-hand houses, which has caused home
purchasers to expect higher gains in new house prices in the future, boosting
sales.
Opinions of the Trump administration's trade officials vary vastly, posing
uncertainties as to the China-U.S. trade negotiations and the global trade
outlook, Caixin reported. The U.S. may be uncertain about what strategies they
should have for China's industrial policy and their sanction on ZTE, the report
said. The U.S. officials are struggling to reach an agreement, divided between
those led by Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin as a defender of free trade, and
those led by Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer who is a protectionist,
Caixin said, citing Stephen Moore, economic advisor in Trump's 2016 presidential
campaign.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: iris.ouyang@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 8532 5998; email: william.bi@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MBQ$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.